BYU
W-L: (19-29) PR = 91.4232Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0-10 206 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 8- 5 206 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 4- 8 207 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 3- 4 207 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 6- 9 212 A Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 7- 9 213 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2-10 213 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 7 214 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1-11 219 A Hawai'i BW ( 0- 7, 87.6) 8- 0 219 A Cal State Northridge BW ( 3- 6, 88.7) 2- 7 220 H Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 5- 4 220 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 1-10 221 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 3- 8 226 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 2- 3 226 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 7- 6 227 A Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 0- 4 228 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 8-13 228 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 5- 4 305 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1-13 306 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 307 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 3-16 310 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 1 313 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 9 313 A Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 10- 1 314 A Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 9- 8 319 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0- 6 320 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0-10 321 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 7- 3 324 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 8- 5 327 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 4- 0 327 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 4- 3 328 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 3 402 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-11 403 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-10 404 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 4-12 407 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 3- 4 409 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 13-10 410 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 10- 6 411 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 10- 9 414 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 9- 6 416 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 10-14 417 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 6- 5 418 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 6- 9 421 H Weber State BSKY ( 2-23, 88.0) 12- 3 424 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 0- 9 425 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 5- 5 430 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 4- 3 501 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 2-10 502 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 3-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Tennessee 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.25
206 H Notre Dame 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.82
206 H Michigan State 4- 8 -4 2 -- -5.58
207 A Penn State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.28
207 A Missouri 6- 9 -3 -4 0.82
212 A Incarnate Word 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.46
213 A Texas State 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.07
213 H Clemson 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.25
214 A Arkansas 1-11 -10 -9 -1.01
219 A Hawai'i 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.90
219 A Cal State Northridge 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.95
220 H Long Beach State 5- 4 1 2 -0.78
220 A Auburn 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.93
221 H Washington 3- 8 -5 -5 -0.42
226 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.14
226 H California 7- 6 1 1 0.17
227 A Seattle U 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.64
228 A UCLA 8-13 -5 -9 + 3.86
228 H Loyola Marymount 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.63
305 A Arizona 1-13 -12 -6 -- -5.61
306 A Arizona 0- 8 -8 -6 -1.61
307 A Arizona 3-16 -13 -6 --- -6.61
310 H Abilene Christian 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.57
313 H Omaha 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -5.39
313 A Utah Tech 10- 1 9 1 +++ 7.51
314 A Omaha 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.09
319 A Oklahoma State 0- 6 -6 -6 0.42
320 A Oklahoma State 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.58
321 A Oklahoma State 7- 3 4 -6 +++ 10.42
324 A Utah Valley 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.64
327 A Pittsburgh 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.03
327 A UNLV 4- 3 1 -1 1.83
328 A UAB 3- 3 0 -1 0.79
402 A Texas Tech 1-11 -10 -9 -1.44
403 A Texas Tech 1-10 -9 -9 -0.44
404 A Texas Tech 4-12 -8 -9 0.56
407 H Utah Valley 3- 4 -1 1 -1.84
409 H Houston 13-10 3 1 1.94
410 H Houston 10- 6 4 1 + 2.94
411 H Houston 10- 9 1 1 -0.06
414 H Utah Tech 9- 6 3 3 0.03
416 H Iowa State 10-14 -4 -2 - -2.11
417 H Iowa State 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.89
418 H Iowa State 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.11
421 H Weber State 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.79
424 A Utah 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.36
425 H San Diego State 5- 5 0 0 0.09
430 A Nevada 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.77
501 H Arizona State 2-10 -8 -4 - -3.72
502 H Arizona State 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Cal State Northridge 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.95 307 A Arizona 3-16 -13 -6 --- -6.61 205 H Tennessee 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.25 206 H Michigan State 4- 8 -4 2 -- -5.58 213 A Texas State 2-10 -8 -3 -- -5.07 213 H Clemson 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.25 220 A Auburn 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.93 305 A Arizona 1-13 -12 -6 -- -5.61 313 H Omaha 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -5.39 424 A Utah 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.36 212 A Incarnate Word 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.46 320 A Oklahoma State 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.58 416 H Iowa State 10-14 -4 -2 - -2.11 501 H Arizona State 2-10 -8 -4 - -3.72 502 H Arizona State 3-11 -8 -4 - -3.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Utah Tech 10- 1 9 1 +++ 7.51 314 A Omaha 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.09 321 A Oklahoma State 7- 3 4 -6 +++ 10.42 219 A Hawai'i 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.90 310 H Abilene Christian 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.57 327 A Pittsburgh 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.03 421 H Weber State 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.79 430 A Nevada 4- 3 1 -5 ++ 5.77 206 H Notre Dame 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.82 207 A Penn State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.28 226 A Cal State Fullerton 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.14 228 A UCLA 8-13 -5 -9 + 3.86 228 H Loyola Marymount 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.63 324 A Utah Valley 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.64 410 H Houston 10- 6 4 1 + 2.94 417 H Iowa State 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0-10 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.50 -0.94
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 8- 5 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.50 11.81
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 4- 8 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.50 -2.53
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 3- 4 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.50 -1.06
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 6- 9 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.50 -1.17
3 A Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 7- 9 -9.68 9.69 0.74 0.50 -2.25
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2-10 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 0- 7 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.50 -1.70
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 1-11 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.50 -0.13
3 A Hawai'i ( 0- 7, 87.6) 8- 0 -12.32 7.05 0.74 0.50 7.86
3 A Cal State Nort ( 3- 6, 88.7) 2- 7 -11.17 8.20 0.74 0.50 -2.63
3 H Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 5- 4 -9.51 9.86 -0.74 0.50 9.19
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 1-10 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.50 -1.11
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 3- 8 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.50 -0.98
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 2- 3 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.50 -1.09
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 7- 6 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.50 10.14
3 A Seattle U ( 2- 4, 93.0) 0- 4 -6.86 12.51 0.74 0.50 -1.54
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 8-13 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.50 -0.10
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 5- 4 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.50 12.63
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 1-13 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.50 -0.53
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 0- 8 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.50 -0.53
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 3-16 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.50 -0.53
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 1 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.50 6.52
3 H Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 0- 9 -4.13 15.24 -0.74 0.50 -1.23
3 A Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 10- 1 -10.71 8.66 0.74 0.50 9.48
3 A Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 9- 8 -4.13 15.24 0.74 0.50 16.12
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0- 6 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.50 -0.52
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0-10 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.50 -0.52
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 7- 3 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.50 17.46
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 8- 5 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.50 11.63
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 4- 0 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.50 11.01
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 4- 3 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.50 11.82
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 3 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.50 0.00
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 1-11 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.50 -0.02
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 1-10 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.50 -0.02
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 4-12 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.50 -0.02
3 H Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 3- 4 -8.58 10.79 -0.74 0.50 -2.35
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 13-10 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.50 9.92
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 10- 6 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.50 9.92
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 10- 9 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.50 9.92
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 9- 6 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.50 7.99
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 10-14 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.50 -1.66
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 6- 5 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.50 12.88
3 H Iowa State (33-21, 94.1) 6- 9 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.50 -1.66
3 H Weber State ( 2-23, 88.0) 12- 3 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.50 6.74
3 A Utah (36-19, 95.3) 0- 9 -4.58 14.79 0.74 0.50 -0.97
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 5- 5 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.50 0.00
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.50 15.79
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 2-10 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.50 -1.06
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 3-11 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.50 -1.06
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177.52
|
winning pts = 208.8067 losing points = -31.2872
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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